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2024 Presidential Election Polls 538 - According to 538's analysis of polls conducted in competitive states* in which over 95 percent of the expected vote was counted as of nov. 8 at 6 a. m. Eastern, the average poll conducted over the last three weeks of the campaign missed the margin of the election by just 2. 94 percentage points.
Apart from the interminable 2000 (when the race came down to a recount in florida that didn. An interactive electoral map derived from 538's probabilistic model for the 2024 presidential election. 538 is excited to unveil our forecast for vice president kamala harris and former president donald trump. Our forecast starts out with a slight lead for harris, reflecting her current edge in polls but uncertainty about how the rest of the election could impact the state of the race. Fivethirtyeight is tracking the 2024 presidential election. Should we trust polls campaigns leak to the press? What are the swing states of the future? What are trumps chances of winning. 538s galen druke and the new york timess ruth igielnik discuss the latest polling data showing an extremely close presidential race. website:
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What are trumps chances of winning. 538s galen druke and the new york timess ruth igielnik discuss the latest polling data showing an extremely close presidential race. website:
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