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538 Senate Forecast 2024 - Find the latest news, analysis and forecasts on the 2024 senate elections from fivethirtyeight. See which seats are vulnerable, which candidates are in trouble, and how the parties are competing for control of the senate. Today, 538 is unveiling our forecast for the upper chamber.
Use them to create and share your own senate forecast. Senate has 51 democrats (including four independents) and 49 republicans. Every day, we simulate the election 50,000 times to get the best projection we can on how likely each party is to win the majority. According to 538s final house forecast, the republican party is in real danger of losing the chamber entirely in 2024. The web page analyzes the 2024, 2026 and 2028 senate maps and rates the races by tiers of difficulty for democrats. It concludes that democrats face an uphill battle to regain a trifecta or hold onto the senate majority, especially in 2024. 538 has released senate polling averages for the general election. Harris, trump neck and neck in swing states: Poll 538's galen druke breaks down the latest polls looking at the 2024 presidential race.
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Harris, trump neck and neck in swing states: Poll 538's galen druke breaks down the latest polls looking at the 2024 presidential race.
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